UFC Vegas #17 Betting Prediction: Antonio Arroyo vs. Deron Winn

Looking ahead at the next UFC event, you will be able to find endless betting opportunities. In the prelims, there is a catchweight battle with a prime example of this between Deron Winn and Antonio Arroyo.

Date:Sat, Dec 19, 3:00 PM

Venue:UFC Apex

Watch on:ESPN+

The Fighters

Deron Winn (6-2-0)

Winn is coming into this matchup with a current two fight losing streak. His most recent bout was a submission loss against Gerald Meerschaert back in March.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout and two by decision. All four of his knockout victories have been one in the first round.

He has a striking accuracy at 47 percent and grappling accuracy at 35 percent. He lands 5.95 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 5.95. As you can see, he has a one to one ratio here with not much room for error.

Winn has not yet been successful against takedowns yet but he has a significant strike defense at 52 percent. He also averages 2.49 takedowns in each 15 minutes of fight time.

Antonio Arroyo (9-3-0)

Arroyo is coming off of a decision loss against Andre Muniz back in November of 2019. This snapped his previous five fight winning streak before ultimately coming up short in his last fight.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout, four by submission, and one by decision. He also has seven first round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions.

He had a striking accuracy at 69 percent and a grappling accuracy at 41 percent. He lands 3.12 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.87. This is a solid ratio and it would be great if he can continue these numbers.

Arroyo has a takedown defense at 44 percent and a significant strike defense at 43 percent. He also averages 1.95 takedowns and 0.40 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has had this one fairly close to opening odds across the board. For the moneyline, BetDSI has the odds currently placed at:

Winn: +136

Arroyo: -164

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Both of these fighters have three fights on their UFC resume so far. They both have struggled at trying to have a winning streak and are looking to get back on track.

Winn has had success especially when it comes to striking and his knockouts. However, he has had some issues at defending against significant strikes and with takedowns. This could be where the fight lands in Arroyo’s favor.

Arroyo appears to have a better resume and with balanced wins. By looking at his stats, you can see how he has had success so far.

Overall, this fight could most likely lead to a decision and possibly a submission. Arroyo does seem like a good choice here but it will be closer than some may believe.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Arroyo wins via decision, at -164

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