UFC Vegas #12 Betting Prediction: Bobby Green vs. Thiago Moises

Starting off the next UFC main card event is a lightweight bout between two sensational fighters. If you are looking for a betting opportunity, it does not get any better than this. This battle will be between Bobby Green and Thiago Moises.

Date: Saturday, October 31, 6:00 PM

Venue: UFC APEX

Watch on: ESPN+

Betting Preview: Bobby Green (27-10-0)

Green is currently on a three-fight winning streak coming into this one. All of those victories have been by decision, and the last eight bouts he has been a part of have been decisions as well.

His fighting resume is fairly balanced, as it shows that he can win in any form necessary to get the job done. His record shows eight wins by knockout, nine by submission, and ten by decision.

He has been on a trend over the years with taking his fights the distance. In fact, the last time he won a fight by something other than a decision was way back in 2013.

“King” has a striking accuracy at 51% and a grappling accuracy at 39%. He lands 5.13 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.36. This ratio shows a nice balance of offense but shows he defends decent too.

Green has a takedown defense at 74% and a significant strike defense at 63%. He also averages 1.53 takedowns and 0.40 submissions every 15 minutes.

Betting Preview: Thiago Moises (13-4-0)

Moises is coming off of a submission win back in May. He also has a balanced resume, and the only losses he has suffered have come by decision.

His fighting resume shows that he has three wins by knockout, five by submission, four by decision, and one by other. He is 3-2 since joining the UFC, and he will look to build his resume going forward.

He has a striking accuracy at 43% and a grappling accuracy of 28%. He lands 2.68 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.54. This ratio is on the negative side, as he takes on more strikes than he delivers.

Moises has a takedown defense at 68% and a significant strike defense at 57%. He also averages 1.10 takedowns and 1.60 submissions every 15 minutes.

Green vs. Moises Betting Lines & Odds

The market has been leading towards Green in this matchup. For the moneyline, BetOnline has the odds currently sitting at:

  • Green: -285
  • Moises: +245

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Green has a lot of work put in over the years and has faced many tough opponents along the way in this division. Moises has a solid resume entering this one, but he has a lot of ground to make up when it comes to experience.

That is exactly what this fight will be about, experience. Green has him beat on a solid performance in striking, takedowns, and stamina.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Green wins via decision, at -285

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