UFC on ESPN+ 49: Charles Rosa vs. Darrick Minner odds, picks and prediction

Joe Williams
| Sportsbook Wire

In a featherweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Charles Rosa and Darrick Minner meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rosa vs. Minner:Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:51 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line) : Rosa -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Minner +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Over/Under : 1.5 rounds (Over -135 | Under +110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +185 | No -225)

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Rosa vs. Minner: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Rosa 13-4 | Minner 25-11

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Rosa heads into this one as a moderate favorite despite the fact he has alternated wins and losses in his eight bouts since moving to the UFC level. He won last time out by split-decision over Kevin Aguilar June 13, 2020, so if you believe in those kinds of trends, a loss is coming here.

MINNER (+160), representing Team Disorderly Conduct, has split his two fights since arriving at the UFC level, losing to Grant Dawson by submission in his debut Feb. 29, 2020, and winning against TJ Laramie in Round 1 Sept. 19, 2020. Playing MINNER ( +160) on the 2-way line is a good value.

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Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-135) is a good play in this one. Each of Rosa’s past two fights have ended up going the distance, and he has needed the judges to get involved in four of his past six with just one KO/TKO loss and a submission win during the span. In Minner’s two fights at the UFC level, he has gone 1-1 on the Over 1.5 Rounds prop.

In addition, I kind of like YES ( +185): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” for a small-unit wager. Minner is a hard charger looking for finishes, but Rosa is patient and tends to go long. There is some good value there.

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