UFC 258 Betting Prediction: Bobby Green vs. Jim Miller

Shortly after the main card begins in UFC 258, there is a lightweight battle you should check out. This matchup shows a pair of excellent fighters, Jim Miller and Bobby Green, who have displayed a long career of MMA battles.

Date:Sat, Feb 13, 9:00 PM

Venue:UFC Apex

Watch on:PPV

The Fighters

Jim Miller (32-15-0)

Miller is looking to get back on track with a win here. In his last fight, he lost to Vinc Pichel by unanimous decision back in August of 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout, 18 by submission, and 10 by decision. He also has 13 out of his 18 submission victories resulting in first round finishes.

“A-10” has a striking accuracy at 40 percent and a grappling accuracy at 43 percent. He lands 2.73 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 2.99. This ratio is slightly on the negative side, but nothing very alarming about it.

Miller has a takedown defense at 46 percent and a significant strike defense at 59 percent. He also averages 1.69 takedowns and 1.90 submissions every 15 minutes.

Bobby Green (27-11-1)

Green is also aiming to be back on the winning track. In his recent bout, he suffered a unanimous decision loss to Thiago Moises back in October 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has a balanced resume of eight wins by knockout, nine by submission, and 10 by decision. He also had nine first round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions.

“King” has a striking accuracy at 51 percent and a grappling accuracy at 41 percent. He lands 5.17 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.32. This is a very solid ratio with a clear separation between landing and absorbing strikes.

Green has a takedown defense at 72 percent and a significant strike defense at 63 percent. He also averages 1.56 takedowns and 0.30 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has Green coming in as a moderate favorite here. For the moneyline, BetDSI has the odds currently placed at:

Green: -250

Miller: +201

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Both fighters no doubt have a ton of experience in the UFC and in their MMA careers. They have put together respectable resumes and it also shows how consistent they have been.

With that being said, not a lot has changed in their stats over the years. Specifically with Miller, he typically has a lower significant strike amount whether he wins or loses.

Green will need to have a very solid takedown defense if he wants to succeed. The good thing is that he has not lost by a submission since 2009, and the others have been decisions or only one knockout.

Overall, Green has a lot to like here. He has a balanced resume to take this fight anywhere and even keep the fight standing for a majority.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Green wins via decision, at -250

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