UFC 258 Betting Prediction: Belal Muhammad vs. Dhiego Lima

Later on in the prelims for UFC 258 is a welterweight bout to take a look into. For this betting experience, you have the opportunity to catch a showdown between Belal Muhammad and Dhieho Lima.

Date: Sat, Feb 13, 7:00 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN

The Fighters

Belal Muhammad (17-3-0)

Muhammad comes into this matchup as the 13th best fighter in the welterweight division. He is also on a three fight winning streak and looking to add another victory.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout, one by submission, and 12 by decision. Since a majority of bjs victories have been decisions, he only has one first round finish which was by knockout.

“Remember the Name” has a striking accuracy at 42 percent and a grappling accuracy at 30 percent. He lands 4.48 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.97. This ratio appears to be consistent and shows a decent volume on both sides.

Muhammad has a takedown defense at 83 percent and a significant strike defense at 59 percent. He also averages 2.13 takedowns and 0.20 submissions every 15 minutes.

Dhiego Lima (17-7-0)

Lima finds himself with some momentum heading into this fight. He is currently on a three fight winning streak, with two consecutive fights being split decision victories.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout, four by submission, and seven by decision. He also has five first round finishes with a combined effort of knockouts and submissions.

He has a striking accuracy at 40 percent and a grappling accuracy at 44 percent. He lands 2.84 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.96. This ratio looks to be slightly on the negative side so there is not much room for error here.

Lima has a takedown defense at 66 percent and a significant strike defense at 62 percent. He also averages 1.66 takedowns and 0.80 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market is showing that Muhammad is a heavy favorite in this one. For the moneyline, Intertops has the odds currently sitting at:

Lima: +320

Muhammad: -450

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

This fight has a good chance of going the distance. Both fighters have displayed that they have what it takes to make it that far, especially Muhammad.

Lima has solid stats just about everywhere you look. However, he does not appear to have a definitive answer for knocking out his opponents especially with a slightly negative significant strike ratio.

Muhammad is not setting the woods on fire either with knockout victories but he at least has a nice volume of significant strikes landed with a positive ratio. He also has a high takedown defense in case Lima tried to turn this into a ground game.

Overall, Muhammad looks most appealing here for the pick. Lima does not have the consistency in the past to show enough for a win here.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Muhammad wins via decision, at -450

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