UFC 257 Betting Prediction: Movsar Evloev vs. Nik Lentz

Heating up in the early prelims for UFC 257 is a catchweight battle for two fighters wanting to move up in the rankings. This matchup will be between Nik Lentz and Movsar Evloev.

Date:Sat, Jan 23, 5:30 PM

Venue:Etihad Arena

Watch on:UFC Fight Pass

The Fighters

Nik Lentz (30-11-2)

Lentz is currently on a two fight skid as this matchup approaches. His last bout was a unanimous decision loss to Arnold Allen back in January of 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has 11 wins by knockout, eight by submission, and 11 by decision. He also has 13 first round finishes with a combined effort of knockouts and submissions.

“The Carny” has a striking accuracy at 48 percent and a grappling accuracy at 33 percent. He lands 3.46 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.14. This is a solid ratio and one he has successfully kept up throughout his entire career.

Lentz has a takedown defense at 45 percent and a significant strike defense at 49 percent. He also averages 3.41 takedowns and 1.20 submissions every 15 minutes.

Movsar Evloev (13-0-0)

Evloev will put his undefeated streak up against a UFC veteran. He has had three straight unanimous decision victories with a recent one involving a win against Mike Grundy back in July of 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has three wins by knockout, four by submission, and six by decision. Out of his 13 victories, he only has two first round finishes with one being a knockout and the other a submission.

He has a striking accuracy at 43 percent and a grappling accuracy at 33 percent. He lands 4.44 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.76. This is a very solid ratio to have for just three UFC bouts.

Evloev has a takedown defense at 68 percent and a significant strike defense at 65 percent. He also averages 3.00 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds For This Event

The market is really loving Evloev to take out the veteran fighter. For the moneyline, Intertops has the odds currently sitting at:

Lentz: +335

Evloev: -480

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Looking at both fighters’ resumes, we can take an educated guess and see that this one could potentially go the distance. Neither one of them have shown very compelling evidence of consistency when it comes to stoppages, even though Lentz has plenty of them.

Lentz’s last first round finish was all the way back in 2012. Evloev has a balanced resume and could provide a stoppage, but it appears he has more of an all around approach and can take the fight anywhere it needs to go.

Overall, this will be a solid test for Evloev as he takes on an experienced fighter. He has performed well so far in his first three UFC bouts, and he has the potential to make it a fourth straight victory.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Evloev wins via decision, at -480

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