Man City vs Aston Villa (Wednesday, 18:00)
Man City are moving ominously up the Premier League table and they can reach the summit of the standings with a victory against Aston Villa on Wednesday night.
The Citizens made a stuttering start to the season but Pep Guardiola’s star-studded side have suddenly shored things up at the back and their newfound defensive solidity has fuelled a run of six clean sheets across their last seven matches.
City will be looking to keep the feelgood factor flowing this midweek when they face an Aston Villa outfit who were forced into cold storage for three weeks.
Villa’s turnaround this season has been nothing short of remarkable but they face a daunting trip to the Etihad on the back of their enforced break.
If we combine each team to receive over zero cards we will be presented with a 4/5 punt and that price just looks a little bit too big to me.
Aston Villa are averaging two yellow cards per game in the Premier League this season and they have received at least one caution in 13/15 top-light tussles this term.
What’s more, Villa are currently the most-fouled team in the Premier League and their talisman Jack Grealish tends to find himself on the receiving end of some rough treatment every time he takes to the turf – Grealish is the most-fouled player in the league this season.
With that in mind, I’ll add at least one Man City card to the above-mentioned Bet Builder.
Indeed, City are averaging just 1.29 yellows per 90 minutes this season but forward-thinking Villa will carry a threat on the counter-attack and they have already demonstrated this season that they can hold their own against the heavyweights of the division.
Referee John Moss is averaging 2.70 yellow cards this season but he has booked both teams in 5/10 Premier League matches this season and I’m happy to side with a repeat on Wednesday night.