The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 28 of the 2020/21 English Premier League.
Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 (bet365)
Back Under 1.5 goals at 3.25 (Unibet)
I’m not expecting a lot of goals in this. The last eight fixtures between the two went under 2.5 goals. Newcastle were missing three first-choice attacking players last week while Aston Villa aren’t certain to have Jack Grealish back in time. Newcastle’s last six fixtures went under 2.5 goals with five of those going under 1.5. Both teams enter this clash on the back of a 0-0 draw.
Back Under 3.5 goals at 1.27 (bet365, Unibet)
The two sides haven’t played a fixture that went over 3.5 goals since 2010 – a run of 16 games.
Leeds vs. Chelsea
Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.75 (Unibet)
Back Chelsea to win to nil at 3.10 (bet365, Unibet)
Chelsea bring 6-2-0 form into this clash . They have also kept 9 clean sheets in 11 games in all competitions since Tuchel took over. Leeds meanwhile have lost four of their last five games, with their last three defeats coming to nil. Leeds have lost five of their last six games against sides in the top half of the table.
Crystal Palace vs. West Brom
Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.61 (bet365, Unibet)
Crystal Palace have seen 12 of their 18 home games go under 2.5 goals in the last 12 months and 4 of their last 5 home fixtures against West Brom went under the total. West Brom’s last six fixtures went under 2.5 goals and their last four fixtures went under 1.5.
Everton vs. Burnley
Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.81 (bet365)
The last four fixtures between the two sides went under 2.5 goals and 4 of the last 5 meetings at Goodison Park went under this total. Over the last twelve months 12 of Burnley’s 18 away fixtures went under 2.5 goals.
Southampton vs. Brighton
Back Brighton +0.5 at 1.43 (bet365)
At the time of writing Southampton haven’t yet played their Wednesday night fixture against Man City, but it does mean they’ll have less time to prepare for this clash than Brighton. No other team has picked up fewer points in 2021 than the Saints, who are in 1-1-8 form. To compound matters they will likely be without talisman Danny Ings. Brighton are in far better form than their win-loss record indicates. They have dominated a number of games only to fail to take their chances. Brighton have drawn all three visits to St Mary’s Stadium since promotion.
Leicester City vs. Sheffield Utd
Back Leicester City in the head-to-head at 1.52 (Unibet)
Sheffield United have lost 22 of their 28 games this season and with relegation almost assured they have less to play for than the Champions League chasing Leicester City. The Foxes are a bit banged up with missing personnel but they should still be too strong for a side that has gone 1-1-14 away from home over the last 12 months.