The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 26 of the 2020/21 English Premier League. This extended Gameweek runs until Friday, the 5th of March AEDT. This article reviews the games up until Tuesday, March 2. Previews for the remaining seven fixtures will be published early next week.
Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
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West Brom vs. Brighton
Brighton in the head-to-head at 1.98 (Unibet)
Brighton draw-no-bet at 1.38 (bet365)
Brighton +0.5 at 1.24 (bet365)
West Brom have only won 1 of their last 15 games, losing 9 of them. Brighton were brutally hard done by in their 1-2 home defeat to Crystal Palace earlier in the week. They had 52 touches in the opposition box compared to Palace’s 2 and the Seagulls out-shot the visitors 25 to 3. Prior to that Brighton had gone six games unbeaten.
Leeds vs. Aston Villa
Leeds in the head-to-head at 2.23 (Unibet)
Leeds +0.5 at 1.40 (bet365)
I like Leeds’ chances given the injury absence of Aston Villa’s captain Jack Grealish. He had led the team in combined goals and assists this season and Villa were a shadow of their normal selves in their defeat to Leicester City last week. Leeds beat Aston Villa 3-0 earlier in the season and they’ve won four of their last six home games.
Newcastle vs. Wolves
Wolves draw-no-bet at 1.52 (bet365)
1-1 correct score at 7.00 (bet365)
Despite their injury woes in the absence of Jimenez, Wolverhampton have continued to pick up points and have gone 3-1-0 in their last four games. Their lift in results is tied to the impressive form of Pedro Neto, who has stepped up in Jimenez’s absence with five goals and four assists. They now take on a Newcastle side that is in 3-2-10 form. I haven’t opted for Wolves in the head-to-head because their last four games with Newcastle all ended in 1-1 draws.
Leicester City vs. Arsenal
Leicester City in the head-to-head at 2.50 (Unibet)
Looking at the interactive EPL form guide for away form against strong opponents, Arsenal have lost five of their last six fixtures. The Gunners have lost their last two away games as well as their last three visits to King Power Stadium. Leicester City have gone 7-1-5 as the home favourite while Arsenal have gone 3-0-4 as the away underdog over the last 12 months, so I’m happy to back Leicester City at anything over 2.00.
Crystal Palace vs. Fulham
Fulham +0.5 at 1.32 (bet365)
Crystal Palace’s 2-1 win over Brighton earlier in the week was one of the more epic smash and grab results in recent memory. Palace had 25% of possession, where out-shot 25 to 4 and had just 2 touches in the opposition box compared to 52 for Brighton. Up until then the Eagles had lost 18 of 20 without Wilfried Zaha and had gone 0-0-5 without scoring a goal in his absence. Zaha is expected to remain on the sideline with his hamstring injury for this clash, which is why I’m siding with Fulham. Another factor is that Palace worked their hearts out defensively against Brighton, which is to be expected given the Seagulls are their biggest rival. I don’t expect them to match that work rate and level of urgency against the Cottagers, however. I’ve opted for Fulham in the Asian Handicap rather than the head-to-head because they have been draw machines in recent months. Nine of their last 14 matches have resulted in a draw. Note that their three defeats during that stretch were all to sides currently in the top five on the table.
Tottenham vs. Burnley
Tottenham in the head-to-head at 1.57 (Unibet)
Tottenham have gone 4-1-0 in their last five at home against Burnley. The visitors are unbeaten (1-3-0) in their last four games, but they were against sides currently ranked 13th, 16th, 18th and 19th. Against teams in the top half of the table Burnley have lost four of their last six and those defeats were by a combined 12 goals to 2. Burnley have also been kept scoreless in 4 of their last 5 games against strong opponents. I would back Tottenham providing you can get get odds greater than 1.50.
Chelsea vs. Man Utd
The draw at 3.50 (bet365)
Man Utd +0.5 at 1.68 (bet365)
Manchester United have an unbeaten 12-6-0 record away from home over the last 12 months. They are also unbeaten in their last six fixtures against Chelsea. Given Chelsea are unbeaten as the home favourite over the last 12 months (10-4-0), if I had to pick a result it would be the draw.