Pick of the Day – 10/7/20 (Wednesday)

Record: 10-0-1

Profit: 9,28u

Last picks:

Lajovic to win vs Khachanov @1,9 ✔️

RBA vs Rublev over 22,5 games @1,85 ❌

Kvyat to be better than Vettel in qualifications @1,8 ✔️

Bublik to win vs Monfils @2,3 ✔️

Stefano Travaglia to win vs Kei Nishikori @1,66 ✔️

Aljaz Bedene to win vs Nikola Milojevic @1,8 ✔️

Lorenzo Sonego to win vs Taylor Fritz @2.0 ✔️

Karen Khachanov to win vs Christian Garin @2.0 ✔️

Jannik Sinner to win vs Alexander Zverev @2,62 ✔️

Fucsovics Rublev over 3,5 sets @1,83 ✔️

Philipp Kohlschreiber to win vs Thiago Seyboth Wild @2,37 ✔️

Kohlschreiber won comfortably. I said that I would post in 2 tennis daily discussions a pick for today (this one and for yesterday). Unfortunately, I didn’t, I was too busy. I will post the same pick in POTD thread for tomorrow, if the odds aren’t lower than 1,5 (POTD rules).

Today’s pick: Andrey Rublev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas over 3,5 sets @1,5, this bet is called no straight sets winner on bet 365.

Starts in at least 6 hours, probably a bit more.

Why do I think there will be over 3,5 sets in the match?

I spent a lot of time thinking about the match, Do i take the over, do I back up Rublev, or to take over 3,5 sets and I came to conclusion that this is the best bet. Over 39,5 games is 1,72 and with this bet being at 1,5, there is no much value with 1,72. These guys played 4 times each other and over games hit comfortably each time and none of the matches were won by anyone in straights.These two also played in Hamburg 10 days ago and it went to 3 sets. Even with the odds relatively low (1,5), I think there is a great amount of value on this, since this is such an equal matchup and it is very hard to imagine anyone winning in straights. If you are worried by ‘easiness’ Tsitsipas beat Dimitrov, don’t be, Dimitrov played poorly and still could’ve won a set. And onto Rublev, Fucsovics really played well, but Rublev still managed to win in 4. Other than this being a great bet imo, this is going to be a great match too.

I am aware that this is not the odds you might’ve been expecting, but there aren’t many matches to begin with.

Some of you guys have been telling me that they don’t have the over 3,5 sets in their books and should they take over games instead (listed around 39,5). I would recommend you to just skip this day instead,

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