Pick of the Day – 1/13/21 (Wednesday)

PotD Record: 27-14

Deep Learning Model Record: 5-0

Previous:
2020-11-27: NCAAM Abilene Christian ✅
2020-11-28: NCAAM Nebraska -9 ✅
2020-11-29: NFL Raiders -3 ❌ (not even close)
2020-11-30: NCAAM Mercer +2.5 ✅
2020-12-01: NCAAM Nebraska -12 ❌ (Couldn’t hold their big lead)
2020-12-02: NCAAM Gonzaga -8 ❌ (Sadly, my closest loss)
2020-12-03: NCAAM Drake -9.5 ✅
2020-12-04: NCAAM Bradley -1❌ (I am still underestimating SDSU)
2020-12-05: NCAAM Houston -9.5 ✅
2020-12-06: NCAAM Missouri -4.5 ✅
2020-12-08: NCAAM Iowa -4 ✅
2020-12-09: NCAAM Nebraska -2 ❌ (This was heart breaking. I was so confident and then Nebraska just didn’t show up)
2020-12-11: NCAAM Iowa -14 ✅ (Easiest and largest pick ever. I was right that Iowa would almost win by 30)
2020-12-12: NCAAM Ok St -3.5 ❌(Cunningham took 2 shots in the second half. This should have been a 10 point win. Very odd second half)
2020-12-13: NFL Packers -4 1h ❌(Tough loss. The Lions had some long drives that chewed some clock and the last drive of the first half went nowhere. Packers didn’t cover so I would have lost that one too.)
2020-12-14: NCAAM Morehead State +6 ✅
2020-12-15: NCAAM Clemson +2 ❌ (They had a 7 minute streak of doing nothing and they had a 3 at the buzzer for the backdoor cover. Didn’t happen)
2020-12-16: NCAAM Mercer +5 ❌(Second missed backdoor cover at the buzzer. Wished Mercer was a little more consistent in the second half too)
2020-12-17: NCAAM Southern Illinois -7.5 ✅
2020-12-18: NCAAM Drake -6 ✅
2020-12-19: NCAAM Baylor -17 ✅
2020-12-20: NCAAM UConn +4 ✅
2020-12-21: stupid me forgot to post my winner
2020-12-22: NCAAM Iowa -6.5 ✅
2020-12-23: NCAAM Xavier +6.5 ✅
2020-12-25: NCAAM Iowa -6.5 ❌
2020-12-26: NCAAM Northwestern +3 ✅
2020-12-27: NCAAM Drake -4 ✅
2020-12-28: NCAAM Stony Brook ✅
2020-12-29: NCAAM: Rutgers -3 ✅
2020-12-31: NCAAM: Arizona -8 ✅
2021-01-01: NCAAM: Cleveland State -3.5 ❌
2021-01-02: NCAAM: Baylor -15 ❌
2021-01-03: NCAAM: Northwestern +8.5 ❌
2021-01-05: NCAAM: Texas -13 ❌
2021-01-06: NCAAM: Michigan -6.5 ✅
2021-01-07: NCAAM: Iowa -5.5 ✅
~~~~~Deep Learning Model~~~~~
2021-01-08: NCAAM: Cleveland State -2 ✅
2021-01-09: NCAAM: Texas +2 ✅
2021-01-10: NCAAM: Iowa -9.5 ✅
2021-01-11: NCAAM: UConn -5 ✅
2021-01-12: NCAAM: Michigan -3.5 ✅ (Nice and easy. I wish they were all like that)

Pick:
Ohio State -8 6pm CT. Ohio State is a solid team and Northwestern has lost 3 straight to good teams by large margins. Ohio State hasn’t lost at home this year with a nice win over Rutgers and some nice blowouts.

Northwestern Road Offense: 70.7 pts/gm
Northwestern Road Defense: 79.6 pts/gm
Ohio State Home Offense: 79.8 pts/gm
Ohio State Home Defense: 61 pts/gm

Note: I am going to start using my deep learning model to make picks. The gist is that I use offense and defensive numbers fed into a neural network trained over the last 10 years or so. We will see how it goes. Note: I don’t trust the actual number that is output. I just use that as a general reference.

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