NFL Week 1 Spread Line Movement Performance

Hi all,

I am tracking the spread line movements for the NFL this season, and I just wanted to share my findings. This is partly for your information, but also because I could use a sanity check to make sure my methodology is accurate.

Open date: 1 week prior to game day

Mid: Any change between open and 1 day prior to game day

Late: Any change 1 day prior to game day

Summary:

Please let me know if I missed anything or want to see any other details.

Edit: u/thebwit and u/Zornig caught a mistake with the HOU/KC midweek line movement. I updated the record above and the table.

Week Away Home Open Mid Late Mid $ Late $ Final Mid Correct Late Correct
1 HOU KC -9.5 -9 -9 Underdog NA -14 -1 0
1 PIT NYG 4.5 6 6 Favorite NA 10 1 0
1 TB NO 3 3 3 NA NA -11 0 0
1 DAL LAR 3 2.5 2 Underdog Underdog -3 1 1
1 LV CAR 2.5 3 3 Favorite NA 4 1 0
1 TEN DEN 2.5 2.5 3 NA Favorite 2 0 -1
1 ARI SF -7 -7 -6.5 NA Underdog 4 0 1
1 LAC CIN 3 3 3 NA NA 3 0 0
1 CLE BAL -8 -7 -7.5 Underdog Favorite -32 -1 1
1 IND JAC 7.5 8 8 Underdog NA -7 -1 0
1 CHI DET -1.5 -3 -2.5 Favorite Underdog 4 -1 1
1 MIA NE -6 -6.5 -7 Favorite Favorite -10 1 1
1 PHI WAS 6 5.5 5.5 Underdog NA -10 1 0
1 NYJ BUF -6.5 -6.5 -6.5 NA NA -10 0 0
1 GB MIN 2.5 2.5 2.5 NA NA 9 0 0
1 SEA ATL 1 2.5 1 Favorite Underdog 13 1 -1

Source for Odds: Oddsshark.com

Latest posts