NFL Free Pick: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons (NO -3, O/U 45)
Taysom Hill and the Saints head to Atlanta this Sunday looking to remain undefeated since Drew Brees landed on IR with broken ribs. On the other side, Atlanta has looked like a legitimate threat of late, posting a 4-2 record since Dan Quinn was relieved of his duties after a 0-5 start.
One of Raheem Morris’ two losses came in this matchup just two weeks ago in New Orleans, where Hill led his team to a 24-9 victory. We’ll see what adjustments Morris can make in his second matchup with the versatile QB, but sportsbooks are still favoring the visiting Saints in this matchup.
The Saints are currently listed as 3-point favorites in Atlanta, but our model thinks that may be a modest projection. We’re projecting the Saints to win by a score of 27.1-20.2, giving us a solid edge against the spread. Our model suggests an $80 wager on NEW ORLEANS -3 for an average $100 bettor.
Prediction Machine’s NFL model is 189-144 ATS (56.8%) and 180-160 (52.9%) on O/Us for +34.71 units, or $3,471 of profit since the start of the 2019 season. Head over to predictionmachine.com/pricing and sign up to receive every NFL prediction.
Why will New Orleans cover the spread?
How to bet the total in Saints vs Falcons:
Prediction Machine’s NFL model projects a final score of 27.1-20.2 in favor of the Saints. With 47.3 projected points and an OVER/UNDER of 45, we have a slight edge on the OVER in this one. Our model suggests a $60 wager on OVER 45 for $100 average bettors.