NFL Betting Preview: New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos – Sunday, Oct. 18, 2020

It’s an inter-conference matchup as the 1-3 Denver Broncos are in Foxborough for a battle with the 2-2 New England Patriots inside Gillette Stadium on Sunday as part of the Week 6 slate in the NFL. This is the first meeting between the two since 2017 with New England taking the previous two, but trailing in the all-time series.

Denver’s last win against the Patriots overall came in the 2016 AFC Championship as Peyton Manning led his Broncos over Tom Brady and company en route to a Super Bowl victory.

You Lock It Up

Two weeks after the Broncos featured a 100-yard rusher and 100-yard receiver in the same game for the first time since Manning was under center, they should be getting starting QB Drew Lock back after recovering from a shoulder injury. The Broncos and Patriots were originally scheduled to play in Week 5, but a Covid-19 outbreak in New England postponed it once, and positive tests on Friday may put it in jeopardy again.

The other big news to come out of Denver this week was Melvin Gordon’s DUI. The Bronco back practiced all week up until Friday so you certainly want to continue monitoring that.

New Challenges

Perhaps the Patriots two most high-profile players in Cam Newton and reigning NFL Defensive Player of the Year, Stephon Gilmore have tested positive for Covid-19 in successive weeks, throwing further monkey wrenches in a season full of them for Bill Belichick and crew.

Prior to last week’s BYE, they fell to the Kansas City Chiefs after turning the ball over four times, their most since 2008. Brian Hoyer and Jarret Stidham split time at QB then and may have to again if Newton is unable to play this Sunday.

Broncos/Patriots Betting Lines

MyBookie has the Patriots as 9-point favorites at home in this one, with an over/under of 44.5. New England is 2-2 ATS so far while Denver is 3-1 against the number entering Week 6.

Free Betting Pick

There are a ton of variables to consider in this matchup, if they’re able to kick off as scheduled. As noted, the Pats will have to turn to either Hoyer or Stidham, while Denver can rely on Philip Lindsay if Melvin Gordon ends up getting suspended.

Drew Lock will be a major upgrade over Jeff Driskel or Brett Rypien and even though they haven’t won in Foxborough since 2006, they should cover the number amidst all the distraction and questionable availability.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Broncos +9

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