Gambling911.com looks at games that featured the home team as a primary +3.5 home dog. We look at the line moves around this number and the final results.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Tennessee Titans (January 10, 2021)
The recreational sportsbook Bovada opened at Titans +3.5 and did shift to +3 at times. The +3 remained for a few days before closing at +3.5.
Heritage Sports, a sharp book, followed a similar path.
Bookmaker did so as well, however, they closed at +4.5, but only for a few minutes. It’s interesting that the line never hit the 4, instead jumping from +3.5 to +4.5.
This appeared to be a last ditch effort to get more action on the Titans. The line only shifted back to +3.5 the morning of the game.
Spread Range: +3.5 to +3 to +3.5 (rare +4.5)
Line Closing Trend: Line move from +3 to +3.5
Result: Baltimore wins by 7 points (20-13)
– Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com