Models and Statistics Monthly – 1/17/21 (Sunday)

Soccer Probability Predictions at

The system scrapes data and runs:

  1. Simple Poisson Regression (based on Goals)

  2. Downloads and posts the latest 538 predictions

  3. Samples a handful of Sportsbooks odds and calculates the mean implied probability.

The system runs runs every night for the big European leagues. All coded in python and runs on Google Cloud Platform.

The probabilities can be viewed as straight probabilities, percentages, or decimal odds

There are links to descriptions of the models here

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