March Madness Matchups: 6 vs 11 Betting History & Trends

Traditionally, being selected as a No. 6 seed heading into the NCAA Tournament has been a curse in March Madness brackets as No. 11 seeds are 14-14 SU and 17-11 ATS in the last seven tournaments. Getting seeded at No. 11 has consequently proven to be a great underdog position. In 2018, No. 11 seeds went 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS with only the Florida Gators winning and covering from No. 6. However, No. 6 seeds bounced back in 2019, going 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS with only Iowa State failing to win.

Why should you bet on an 11 seed over the 6 seed?

Three No. 11 seeds covered the spread in 2018, while two of them won straight up in the first round to move on in the NCAA Tournament. In 2017 and 2016, No. 11 seeds went 3-1 SU and ATS both years. 2019 was a bit of a comeback for the 6 seeds, but they still only split ATS. The fact that No. 11 seeds are 9-7 SU vs No. 6 seeds in the last four year-end tournaments should be enough to make bettors think twice before writing off the lower seed.

Sounds like a great time to find a high underdog spread!

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Will an 11 seed make the Final Four?

Four No. 11 seeds have made it to the Final Four – Loyola-Chicago in 2018, VCU in 2011, George Mason in 2006 and LSU in 1986 – while seven No. 11 seeds have made it at least to the Elite Eight. More than half (26 of 50) of the advancing No. 11 seeds all-time have advanced to the Sweet 16.

Seed vs Seed Stats: 1 vs 16 | 2 vs 15 | 3 vs 14 | 4 vs 13 | 5 vs 12 | 6 vs 11 | 7 vs 10 | 8 vs 9