Locks And Value: DraftKings Millionaire Maker, Super Bowl 55

  • Stacking a Quarterback with both receiving targets is imperative for winning DraftKings Millionaire Maker.
  • After assembling a Kansas City Chiefs trio as well as a Tampa Bay Buccaneers trio, three more players are to be drafted.
  • Rob Gronkowski fits in both lineups as a fantastic value play, priced at just $3,000

NEW YORK – As Super Bowl Sunday has arrived, the final bets on SB LV have started to pour in. However, while bet slips are heavy, some often look past the daily fantasy contests for Super Bowl LV.

DraftKings is hosting a Millionaire Maker GPP tournament, where the top prize is $1m with second place ($250,000), third place ($100,555), and fourth place ($50,000) all earning nice prizes as well.

Over 630,000 entries will be placed, so finding value and locks are crucial to winning. While there is no secret success to Super Bowl daily fantasy games, there are always NFL and Super Bowl betting trends that can help players find their right avenue.

Super Bowl DFS Value Plays

For Draftkings, the Captain position is 1.5x the points and 1.5x the price against the salary cap. This impact may scare off those considering playing a QB here, but it is almost needed.

No matter whether looking to buy Tom Brady ($15,000) or Patrick Mahomes ($18,000) at their inflated price, pick one, as it is wrong to punt on a QB in general – especially of this caliber.

Last year, Patrick Mahomes scored three touchdowns alongside nearly 300 yards. In Brady’s last three Super Bowls, he has totaled 6 touchdowns and 1056 yards. Whichever QB is chosen lies solely on the DFS player.

However, that plays a large part in moving forward for the optimal Millionaire Maker lineup, as stacking is key to winning large tournaments.

According to RotoStreetJournal, 93.6% of the Top-10 Millionaire Makers had a stacked lineup entering the 2020 season. Even further, 41.2% of them had two players stacked alongside their QB.

While this is likely to always be the case in a single-game format, it harps on the fact that whatever QB is selected by a legal DFS player, they will also need the QB’s targets to capitalize as well.

For the Chiefs, it is rather easy, with Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce leading the way. Between the two, the trends speak for themselves. Kelce has recorded at least 8 receptions in nine of his last 10 games. For Hill, he is on pace to break 400 yards in a three-game span for the third time in his career over this playoff run.

Doubling down on the two Super Bowl champions is expensive though, with Hill ($10,400) just being outpaced by Kelce ($11,000).

The other plan (riding with the Bucs) gives DFS players an interesting debate from the start.

With Mike Evans ($8,400) cheaper than Chris Godwin ($8,800), it is an easy addition.

Between the Chiefs and Bucs total receiving touchdowns on the year, Evans, Hill, and Kelce hit 47% of that total. Always looked to in the red zone, Evans has scored 57% of his career touchdowns in the RedZone.

Even crazier, 47.5% of them have been inside the 10-yard line. Evans is “hampered” by a knee injury, but will likely look to put it all on the line for Super Bowl LV.

Godwin is the other safe play, as the receiver has had several big drops over the last few weeks; however, Brady has shown his consistency toward him.

With 44 targets over the last five games and at least seven in them all, playing these numbers seems smart enough.

At this point, we have two lineups that look quite different.

Option 1 – Chiefs SB DFS Lineup

  • Patrick Mahomes $18,000
  • Travis Kelce $11,000
  • Tyreek Hill $10,400

Option 2 – Bucs SB DFS Lineup

  • Tom Brady $15,000
  • Mike Evans $8,400
  • Chris Godwin $8,800

Best Chiefs Super Bowl DFS Lineup

With $10,600 left in the till, the stars knock out a bunch of the budget. However, there are plenty of players that can ride along this trio for a solid price.

Taking half of the remaining money though should be Darrel Williams, who costs $5,200. Williams has 26 carries over his last two playoff games and has caught 10 passes over his last five games.

Going against the best rush defense in the league, look for Williams to be involved in more quick hitter plays to get him outside the tackles. Running back partner Clyde Edwards Helaire did play against the Buffalo Bills after sitting out against the Cleveland Browns; however, with an ankle and hip issue lingering, nobody would be surprised to see Andy Reid turn heavy to Williams.

Only $5,400 left requires loads of value at this stage. Needing a Bucs player, Ronald Jones seems like the perfect option.

Leonard Fournette will get the majority of the work, hands down; however, at $2,200, it is hard to pass on a guy like Jones. Assuming a fast-paced game as the legal online sportsbooks predict (56.5 points), Jones will find the field.

With double-digit carries in the three of his last four games, Jones shouldn’t be hesitated on. When he was the starter from November 2019-December 2020, Jones averaged 12.6 carries over those 22 games.

He has proven himself for the team, however, the Bucs will need to take an early lead, as Jones hasn’t caught a single pass in his last six games.

Leaving $3,200 left, options fall to Rob Gronkowski, the defenses, Byron Pringle, or Demarcus Robinson.

While Byron Pringle or Demarcus Robinson prove to be interesting options, Rob Gronkowski seems to open up more than the others.

With almost 300 receiving yards in Super Bowls, the experience is the play.

Optimal Chiefs Super Bowl DFS Lineup

  • Captain: Patrick Mahomes $18,000
  • Travis Kelce $11,000
  • Tyreek Hill $10,400
  • Darrel Williams $5,200
  • Rob Gronkowski $3,000
  • Ronald Jones II $2,200

Best Bucs Super Bowl DFS Lineup

With $17,800 left on the Bucs slate, there is much more wiggle room. In fact, poaching one of the best from Kansas City is a real option.

In the battle between Kelce and Hill, the wise person picks Kelce, inclining an optimal lineup user to fade the public. This tossup is a tough battle, however, the lesser price and likely lesser ownership will create more value in the long run when selecting Hill.

With $7,400 left, the options seem slim. Notable players in the range are Cameron Brate, Sammy Watkins, both kickers, both defenses, Rob Gronkowski, Scotty Miller, Ronald Jones II, Byron Pringle, and Demarcus Robinson.

Gronkowski may seem like a reach, but his value at $3,000 cannot be overlooked. Gronk may have had a “tough” season, but it appears the Bucs have just been saving him for the right time.

Gronk has played four games in 2021. Playing 67% of snaps in the first game, he has increased his snap percentage (and total) every single game, sitting at 89% against Green Bay two weeks ago.

In his last two Super Bowls (2018, 2019), he recorded a total of 203 yards and two touchdowns. In his last three Super Bowls, he has played every single offensive snap.

For the last selection, $4,400 is left, and sitting at $4,200 is Sammy Watkins. Always a sleeper, Watkins is questionable, so the 5 p.m. injury report will be a vital news impact on his status and the lineup.

Still, he is expected to play, per Adam Schefter, and could be the outlier against a team that ranks 25 against WR fantasy points.

Watkins is known for exploding in big games, having two games early in the season with seven catches each. While Watkins could be overlooked, he could be the perfect low ownership, mid-risk play to separate from the pack.

Optimal Bucs Super Bowl DFS Lineup

  • Captain: Tom Brady $15,000
  • Tyreek Hill $10,400
  • Chris Godwin $8,800
  • Mike Evans $8,400
  • Sammy Watkins $4,200
  • Rob Gronkowski $3,000

News tags: DFS | DraftKings | Kansas City Chiefs | NFL | Super Bowl 55 | Super Bowl LV | Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Michael Molter

Michael began writing as an NBA content writer and has spent time scouting college basketball for Florida State University under Leonard Hamilton and the University of Alabama under Anthony Grant. A graduate of both schools, he covers topics focused on legal sports betting, betting odds, and casino reviews. Michael likes to golf, play basketball, hike, and kayak when not glued to the TV watching NBA games.

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