Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans: 2/23/2021 Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds, Line, Spread and Betting Trends

A game after he scored 27 points in a 78-71 win over Indiana, Aaron Henry leads the Michigan State Spartans (11-9) at home against the No. 5 Illinois Fighting Illini (16-5) as 6-point underdogs. The matchup, which tips at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 23, 2021, airs on FS1. The over/under in the matchup is 144.

Betting Information

Illinois vs Michigan State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Illinois -6 -110 -110 144 -114 -108 -275 215

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Illinois vs Michigan State
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Illinois (-6) Over (144) Illinois 77 Michigan State 69

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Total Facts

  • The Fighting Illini and their opponents have scored more than 144 points in 66.7% of their outings this year (14 of 21 opportunities).
  • Michigan State has combined with its opponents to score more than 144 points in 11 of 20 opportunities (55%) this season.
  • The Fighting Illini and the Spartans combine to average 8.6 more points per game than the over/under of 144 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.7 fewer points per game (140.3) than this matchup’s over/under of 144 points.
  • The average over/under the Fighting Illini have had set in matchups this season is 6.3 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • The average total for Spartans games this season is 1.5 fewer points than the point total of 144 for this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Fighting Illini record 10.1 more points per game (81.8) than the Spartans give up (71.7).
  • When Illinois totals more than 71.7 points, it is 11-0 against the spread and 14-3 overall.
  • Michigan State has a 1-3 record against the spread and a 1-3 record overall when giving up more than 81.8 points.
  • The Spartans score only 2.2 more points per game (70.8) than the Fighting Illini give up (68.6).
  • Michigan State has gone 8-2 overall and 4-0 against the spread in games it scores more than 68.6 points.
  • Illinois has an ATS record of 3-6 and a 5-4 record overall when its opponents score more than 70.8 points.
  • The Fighting Illini have totaled 277 more points than their opponents this season (13.2 per game on average), while the Spartans have been out-scored by 18 total points (0.9 per game average differential).

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Illinois Betting Information

  • Illinois has been good against the spread this season, posting a 12-8-1 record.
  • The Fighting Illini have posted a winning record of 6-5-1 against the spread when the spread is -6 or bigger.
  • Illinois has been reliable for the over this season, combining with opponents to hit the total in 12 of 21 games for a 57.1% rate.

Michigan State Betting Information

  • The Spartans have a losing record against the spread, going 5-15 ATS (covering only 25% of the time).
  • The Spartans have not fared well as a 6-point underdog, going 1-8 against the spread when they are at least 6-point underdogs.
  • In the majority of Michigan State’s games this year, the teams have not hit the over (9 out of 20 games, 45%).

Head to Head

Illinois vs Michigan State (Last 3 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/11/2020 Michigan State -2.5 141 -145 +120 Regular Season 70-69 MSU
1/2/2020 Michigan State -10 145 -591 +415 Regular Season 76-56 MSU
2/5/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 79-74 ILL

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Illinois Leaders

  • The Fighting Illini leader in points and assists is Ayo Dosunmu, who puts up 21.2 points per game to go with 5.3 assists.
  • Kofi Cockburn is the Fighting Illini best rebounder, pulling down an average of 10.3 boards in each contest while scoring 17.6 points per game.
  • Trent Frazier contributes the most three-point shooting production for the Fighting Illini. He makes 2.0 threes per game.
  • The Illinois steals leader is Frazier, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Cockburn, who compiles 1.5 rejections per contest.

Michigan State Leaders

  • Henry collects 15.0 points and tacks on 3.5 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Spartans’ leaderboards for those statistics.
  • Joey Hauser is at the top of the Michigan State rebounding leaderboard with 6.4 rebounds per game. He also scores 10.2 points and adds 1.6 assists per game.
  • Gabe Brown is reliable from distance and leads the Spartans with 1.6 made threes per game.
  • Henry (1.3 steals per game) and Marcus Bingham Jr. (1.3 blocks per game) lead the Spartans in steals and blocks, respectively.

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