Horse Racing Picks by Stogie for Friday, Oct. 30, 2020

Belmont Race 2

This race will likely come off the turf , so I’m Handicapping this race and the 10 th race for a wet main track

#5 Jake Rocks- Although this horse is only 1 for 16 lifetime and his Trainer hasn’t found the winners circle in a long time, I feel today could be the day to get off schneid , he has been facing better, is offered up for the first time today ,sports 1/21 bullet and has performed well on a off track, Win Contender

#12 Tiergan- drops in class , makes second start off the layoff and has run well on an off track , Live Longshot

#15(AE) Stanhope- could be a factor if he gets in off the also- eligible list, making his second start in the Mike Maker barn, Win Contender

Selections 5-12-15-2

Belmont Race 10

#7 Tercero- Billy Mott drops this Colt in for a price today for the first time, Colt has been facing tougher and has run some good races on an off track, Win Contender

#5 Judge Alexander- another dropping in class here and I believe this one will run better as the distance gets longer, a factor here with the stretch out, Live Longshot

#14 Top of the Mint- of the main track only contestants in here, this Gelding has the best shot, he drops in class and his off track speed figures are amongst the best in here, Major Threat

Selections 7-5-14-1

Churchill Race 4

#7 Paintsville- drops from the MSW ranks into this Maiden Claiming for the first time for Trainer George Arnold, I like the rider switch to Graham and more importantly the juicy 12-1 morning line, Live Longshot

#6 Suggested- has run well on many different turf course s , including a good third over this turf layout last year, Win Contender

#8 Criminal Defense- fits well versus these

#12(AE) Mr Matuschek- if this one gets in , he could very well go gate to wire, don’t ignore

Selections 7-6-8-12

Churchill Race 10

#2 Queen of the Green- impressive debut at Keeneland running a fast closing second despite a slow start, Graham Rides , Top Pick

#5 Amortization- raced rather wide in debut at Belmont , still finished 4 th beaten less than 3, Trainer Chad Brown is off to an incredible start here at Churchill and hits at 28% second out runners, Win Contender

#4 Saranya- the Geroux/Cox combo has won 8 of last 20 starts, horse ran a good second in debut , making up some ground despite the slow pace, Major Player

Selections 2-5-4-7

Stogie Bets for Today

Churchill Race 4

$10 WPS #7 Paintsville(12-1)

$2 Exacta Box 6,7,8

Churchill Race 10

$10WPS #2 Queen of the Green

$1 Trifecta Box 2,4,5,7

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