Horse Racing Picks by Stogie for Friday, Feb. 19, 2021

Tampa Bay Downs Race 8

  • #3 Hachacha- showed some early interest in last race versus better but faded late, receives second time lasix and gets a red hot Jockey in the irons, there’s no world beaters in here and with the drop in class, I believe this Gelding gets the job done today, offers a nice value at 8-1 morning line, Top Pick
  • #8 Uncle Charming- another in here who will benefit from second time lasix and the drop in class, Win Contender
  • #9 Tizzy’s Triumphant-has failed in first two Career races on the dirt, maybe this one wakes up when trying the blades for the first time, don’t ignore

Selections 3-8-9-6

Laurel Park Race 8

  • #3 Shotski- showed some early speed when making first start in over 11 months and faded badly in the stretch, this is a G2 winner from 2 years ago, who obviously has had some health issues, Colt returns to Laurel today, the venue where this one broke his Maiden, he’s shown some nice works leading up to this race, I’ll take a shot here, Live Longshot
  • #6 McElmore Avenue- has reeled off four straight victories over this oval, turned out to be one hell of a claim, when picked up for a mere 16k four races ago, Win Contender
  • #4 Dudley Square- winner here last month versus lesser for Trainer Todd Pletcher, should be a factor here as this Colt steps up the class ladder, Major Player

Selections 3-6-4-5

Santa Anita Race 7

  • #9 I’m Leaving You- failed as the favorite last out, but did run a solid second beaten by just 1 at this level, the switch to Jockey Flavien Prat, who has been a winning machine of late, seals the deal for me, Top Pick
  • #5 Liar Liar- Colt has the back class to take this race, but the 8 month layoff is definitely a concern , Trainer Richard Baltas offers this Colt up for the first time, very tough read on how well this Colt performs today, Baltas usually has his runners ready off the extended layoff, Win Contender
  • #7 Hoop Dream – has been a nibbler at this level, but has a hard time finding the winners circle, use underneath

Selections 9-5-7-2

Stogie Play of the Day

Tampa Bay Downs

$15WPS #3 Hachacha

$2 Exacta Box 3,6,8,9

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