Green Bay Listed as 1-Point Underdogs in Tampa Bay for Week 6 Matchup vs Buccaneers

Green Bay Packers

Can Aaron Rodgers lead the Green Bay Packers to a 5-0 start? Photo by @PFF (Twitter).
  • The Green Bay Packers visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 6
  • The Bucs are 3-2 on the year and their three wins have come against teams who are a combined 5-6
  • Read below for analysis and a prediction on which way the line is likely to move before kickoff

The Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet in a Week 6 matchup between two of the best teams in the NFC. The Packers are a perfect 4-0 through four games and are coming off a bye, while the Bucs are 3-2 coming off a disappointing loss to the Chicago Bears.

Tampa has opened as a 1-point home favorite in the Packers vs Buccaneers odds. Which way will this line move by kickoff?

Packers vs Buccaneers Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Green Bay Packers +105 +1.0 (-110) N/A
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -125 -1.0 (-110) N/A

All odds as of October 10th at FanDuel.

Bucs Stumble At Chicago

This matchup would have a little more luster to it had the Bucs won on the road in Chicago. Instead, their three-game winning streak was snapped by the Bears. Nonetheless, the Tom Brady versus Aaron Rodgers showdown will still be worth the price of admission.

The Bucs offense continues to have some chemistry/rhythm issues. There wasn’t a full offseason and no preseason to integrate a lot of new parts. Brady doesn’t always look on the same page with everyone. There is also the matter of injuries as guys like Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette have all missed time.

Tampa Bay had a season-low 19 points in Chicago last week. They had averaged 32.3 points per game in the three contests prior. They’ll probably need to approach that number to get the win on Sunday.

Super Bowl 55 Odds Tracker

Packers Looking Crisp So Far

With the San Francisco 49ers falling from grace, the NFC East being in shambles and teams in the South underachieving, the top teams in the NFC are the Packers and the Seattle Seahawks right now. The Packers have been dominant so far this season as they have outscored opponents by a league-best 51 points.

The engine of this team is Rodgers, who is once again playing MVP-caliber football. On the year, Rodgers has thrown for 1,214 passing yards (sixth in the NFL entering the week) with 13 touchdowns (second) and zero interceptions. His QBR is an impressive 92.9, which is the best in the NFL.

Rodgers is completing 70.5% of his passes this season, which is by far a career-best for him. He’s a big reason why they are converting 51.1% of their third downs (fifth-best in the NFL). He’ll have a tough test this week as the Bucs defense actually ranks fourth in the league in yards allowed per game. We’ll see if they can slow him down.

Which Way Will The Line Move?

It’s a bit surprising to see the Packers open as a dog in this spot. Sure, they’re on the road but we know that with empty stands, home-field advantage isn’t huge these days. On top of that, the Bucs are 3-2 and haven’t met expectations to date. Their three wins have come against teams who are a combined 5-6.

Beyond that, the Bucs trailed the Chargers big at home before digging out of the hole and then lost to the Nick Foles-led Chicago Bears, whose offense has been beyond sluggish this season. Meanwhile, the Packers are a perfect 4-0 and are coming off a bye week, so they’ll be rested.

Look for bettors to come in on the Packers in this spot and push this to a PICK or even push the Packers to becoming a favorite.

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