30,910 units tried, and failed, to win a fiendishly difficult Rollover Pick 8 last weekend, including our Syndicate which managed just 4/8 correct results. We weren’t too far off in the losing legs and I correctly predicted that Man City’s winning run would come to an end, albeit misguidedly predicting the draw instead of a shock United win. As a result, this Friday’s Pick 8 pool is another Rollover which will hopefully reach a similarly tempting £40,000+ jackpot by the time the action kicks off. Without further ado, here is my football betting tips weekend preview, give it a read and join my Syndicate.
Rollover Pick 8 – Football betting tips preview
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
I don’t think there’s a straightforward leg in this pool in which, in an ideal world, I wouldn’t like to use two selections. The opener is no exception, with Newcastle hosting Villa.
Newcastle’s attacking injuries are beginning to weigh heavy on Steve Bruce’s side, with the Geordies scoring just twice in their winless run of four games. However, they have drawn two in a row now and, with less attacking threat, have seemingly gone into their shell.
Villa are experiencing a slight wobble with just a single win in five. They remain a class above Newcastle this season but have struggled without the influential Jack Grealish, who could be in line for a return here.
I can’t see Newcastle having the firepower to trouble a solid Villa defence so I’ll take the draw and the away win, factoring in the Grealish uncertainty.
Selections: Draw, Villa
Leeds vs. Chelsea
I’ve been waiting all season for Bielsa Burnout to finally kick in and, with Leeds failing to score in two consecutive defeats and suffering four losses in their last five, I’m wondering if it’s finally happening.
Though the fawning media and TV pundits continue to lavish praise on Bielsa’s side, who are given more praise in defeat than any football side I’ve ever known, the stark reality is that three points from their last 15 isn’t a great return.
Can they arrest that slump against a Chelsea side who remain unbeaten under Thomas Tuchel and have taken seven points from three tough matches against Manchester United, Liverpool and Everton? I’m not sure.
Chelsea’s squad is probably only second to Manchester City in terms of depth and their wealth of attacking riches is outrageous. Christian Pulisic, arguably their best player last season, has barely played so far, so there’s minimal risk of their attackers burning out, whereas Leeds are feeling the pace.
On their day Leeds can show up and put on a show but I think that fatigue has set in at Elland Road and expect them to come unstuck against one of the form sides in the Premier League, so I’m just taking The Blues in the second leg of my football betting tips.
Crystal Palace vs. West Brom
I’m a Palace fan and even I think this game is going to be an eyesore. One for the neutrals? It’s not even one for the actual fans.
Both sides are in the lower reaches of the form table, having taken five and six points respectively from their previous six games. Palace have scored just three goals in that run, with two coming in that ridiculous win against Brighton, but will be hoping for an attacking improvement with the return of Wilfried Zaha.
West Brom have been even less potent, scoring just twice in that time with Big Sam-ball now in full effect. Realistically it would be a huge surprise if this game features more than one or two goals and the 0-0 is a real possibility.
Palace probably need one more win to guarantee safety but shouldn’t go down now whatever happens, whereas for West Brom this is absolutely a must win game with some tough fixtures to come. Are Palace already on the beach or can they capitalise on West Brom desperation? Will it just fizzle out into the worst 0-0 in Premier League history? All are possibilities, so I’ll bet accordingly.
Selections: Crystal Palace, Draw, West Brom
Everton vs. Burnley
Defeat to Chelsea ended Everton’s three game winning streak but they remain just four points from the Champions League positions with a game in hand and The Toffees will be disappointed with anything less than Europa League qualification at this point.
Burnley are drawing their way to safety, with four of their last five matches ending in a tie. This includes their last two fixtures against Leicester and Arsenal, who can be viewed as a similar standard to Everton, so we know what they’ll be aiming to do here.
Everton could have had an even better season if their home form hadn’t been so poor and they are 14th in the home table with just five wins from 13 games. Burnley are even worse away from home but, given how they’ve ground out results in recent weeks, they have to be seen as a genuine threat to Everton claiming all three points here.
Selections: Everton, Draw
Fulham vs. Man City
I won’t waste too much time on this leg of my footballing betting tips preview.
If I had more selections to play with I’d love to take City on, just as I did last week. Anything bar a City win will decimate the pool units here and an opportunity to take advantage of that could be extremely profitable if you got it right. However, that’s because a City win is by far the most likely result.
Fulham are in great form at the moment and upset Liverpool last week, however Liverpool’s slump means they can’t be viewed on the same level as City at the moment. Despite City’s winning run ending, they got back on the horse against Southampton and I don’t see them slipping up again here.
Selections: Man City
Southampton vs. Brighton
Whatever happens for the rest of this season, both of these sides will head into this summer wondering what could have been.
Southampton were top of the Premier League in October and looked nailed on for a top half finish at the absolute minimum. Victory over lowly Sheffield United at the weekend, though, remarkably eased relegation concerns after the Saint’s form nosedived and they went on a run of eight games without a win.
For Brighton, their wastefulness in front of goal this season could yet cost them their place in the Premier League. They are now only above 18th placed Fulham on goal difference, albeit with a game in hand. Astonishingly, in their last five matches they have scored just three goals from 83 shots and if they don’t increase that shot conversion rate soon, the Championship awaits.
With two such out of form sides, it’s difficult to know whether one will use the game as a springboard or whether it will end up a draw draw. I think that Southampton’s win, even if it’s only against Sheffield United, will give them confidence though despite their midweek thumping by City and I reckon they’ll inflict more misery on Brighton here to confirm their safety for another season.
Arsenal vs. Tottenham
The North London Derby should be a cracker with both sides still tantalising their supporters with glimpses of what they can do but remaining infuriatingly inconsistent when it comes to actually doing it. Nonetheless, it’s probably the most exciting leg of my football betting tips preview from a neutral standpoint.
Spurs come into the game in better nick, having won three consecutive league games for just the second time this season. If you include the Europa League, Spurs have now scored four goals in four of their last six games, with Gareth Bale finally given a run in the side and looking somethin like his old self.
For Arsenal it’s the same old story of one step forward and two steps back. They overcame Champions League hopefuls Leicester but then immediately dropped points against Burnley with some typically slapstick defending despite taken an early lead.
I must admit I do fancy Tottenham for the win here but Arsenal are genuinely the worst side to bet on or against in the league and I try to leave them out of my betting tips where possible. On any given day they can do absolutely anything and I’m also not foolish enough to suddenly believe that Spurs are a reliable, trustworthy club either.
I think the best bet with this one is to cover all bases and hope it’s one of the classic north London derbies between two batshit sides.
Selections: Arsenal, Draw, Tottenham
Manchester United vs. West Ham
The Jesse Lingard Derby finishes the weekend and promises to be an attractive game between two hugely improved sides this season.
For West Ham to remain within touching distance of the Champions League places at such an advanced stage of the season is testament to the tremendous work done by David Moyes this season, who is a surefire contender for manager of the year.
Three wins from their last four games, the sole defeat coming at the hands of champions-elect Manchester City, has kept The Hammers’ momentum going and if they win this one they’ll really start dreaming. However, they’ll take on a Manchester United side buzzing after ending City’s winning streak last weekend in a game which they were hugely impressive.
United are actually vulnerable at home and have won less than 50% of their games at Old Trafford this season (6/13), an identical record of six wins, three draws and four losses to West Ham’s away results.
For me, United go into the game as deserving favourites but they haven’t won two in a row in the league since the start of January and their last four league wins have been immediately followed by a draw or a defeat. Indeed, they have drawn five of their last eight league matches. If just three of those had been converted into wins, the title race would still be alive which is the story of their season.
I’m slightly concerned that the trend will continue so I’ll back United and the draw.
Selections: Manchester United, Draw
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