Well, bowl season has come to an end with just one more game left on tap, though, it’s the biggest one of the year. No. 1 Alabama vs No. 3 Ohio State for the National Championship. It has been a wild and weird 2020 college football regular season with its share of ups and downs, but I’m grateful that the NCAA was able to get players on the field in a safe manner and we got a season in.
We’ve had an ok bowl season, going 12-11, however, our full-season record will be a disappointing one sitting at 41-51. But, let’s try and close out the year on the right foot with a national championship best bet to get us feeling good ahead of the 2021-22 season in just a few months.
Without further ado, here is my NCAAF CFP National Championship Best Bet.
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College Football Best Bowl Bets
Ohio State Buckeyes +8 vs Alabama Crimson Tide
Ohio State was getting a lot of flak for such a reduced schedule this year, playing just five regular-season games plus a Big Ten Championship game to qualify for the CFP. The Buckeyes collided with Clemson in the CFP semifinal and the Tigers’ head coach Dabo Swinney ranked OSU as the 11th-best team in the coach poll just to point out the lack of belief in them. Well, the Buckeyes silenced doubters when they cruised past the Tigers 49-28, winning outright as a 7.5-point underdog.
But don’t anticipate such an easy path to victory in the National Championship game as a worthy opponent in Alabama awaits. The Crimson Tide had the second-best offense in the nation and has had very few sweats en route to their National Championship game berth with just one win by fewer than 10 points.
Both of these teams are stacked with Alabama having two players as Heisman Trophy finalists in QB Mac Jones and the winner WR DeVonta Smith. That said, Ohio State QB Justin Fields with the WR Chris Olave connection is no joke either and they showed that off in the Clemson win with Olave going for 132 yards and catching two of Fields’ six passing touchdowns in that win.
On the ground, it is also a wash as Oklahoma transfer Trey Sermon (OSU) has emerged down the stretch as the clear No. 1 back for the team, rushing for 331 yards and two touchdowns vs Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship game and 193 yards with another major vs Clemson. Meanwhile, Crimson Tide tailback Najee Harris led the nation with 24 rushing touchdowns and had the third-most rushing yards at 1,387.
Defensively, both teams are very similar, with Alabama allowing an average of 19.5 points per game and Ohio State, 21. The Tide had a pile of points put on them against Ole Miss and Florida, but then were quite stingy against Auburn, Notre Dame, Texas A&M etc. The Buckeyes had much fewer games and had some issues earlier in the year but clamped down as the season progressed.
Overall, I think these teams are very evenly matched which is why I will back Ohio State at +8 and I might even sprinkle on the moneyline because of the value, though, deep down I do think that Alabama will ultimately win this duel. Additionally, the OVER 75.5 points may seem like a scary option with two elite teams but I don’t think it’s that crazy because both squads can rack up points with huge chunk plays — should be a fun one!