# Basic strategy + Martingale. What am I missing?

Hey guys. I’ve been playing BJ in my local casino (BS only, no card counting). I flat bet \$25, and then use Martingale negative progression up to \$400.

Hand 1) Bet \$25. If win. Net = +\$25. If lose, Net = -\$25

If lose –
Hand 2) Bet \$25. If win. Net = \$0. If lose, Net = -\$50
Hand 3) Bet \$50. If win. Net = \$0. If lose, Net = -\$100
Hand 4) Bet \$100. If win. Net =\$0. If lose, Net = -\$200
Hand 5) Bet \$200. If win. Net =\$0. If lose, Net = -\$400
Hand 6) Bet \$400. If win. Net =\$0. If lose, Net = -\$800
End.

So the max I can lose is \$800.

The odds of losing 6 hands in a row is 2.1% (1 in 47). So as long as I’m ‘up’ say \$100 (a modest amount) in those other ’46’ games, then I’m running at a profit.

I understand that technically I could walk in 1 day and lose \$800, and then on day 2 I lose another \$800, but the odds of this happening are extremely low (1 in 47, followed by another 1 in 47).

In short, I’m up around \$3,200 for the last couple of weeks. I always walk out after winning \$100 – \$200, and I’ve yet to hit a 6 hand losing streak. Granted – it will happen, but the max I will lose is \$800.

Is my strategy sustainable for the long term or am I missing something? Cheers.