Australian Open Betting Preview: Andrey Rublev vs Daniil Medvedev – Tuesday, Feb 16, 2021

The No 4 seed Daniil Medvedev of Russia will face his fellow compatriot and good friend Andrey Rublev (7th-seed) when the two face off for a place in the semi-finals on Rod Laver Arena.

The winner of this clash will face either Greece’s Stefanos Tsitsipas or the No. 2 seed Rafael Nadal in the semi-finals.

It won’t be the first all-Russian duel between the pair in a Grand Slam tournament though and considering their undeniable progress, we might get used to watching these two going head-to-head even more often in the future.

Their last meeting was only a few months ago – in the quarter-finals of last year’s US Open – when Medvedev won 7-6, 6-3, 7-6 en route to the semi-finals, to extend his winning streak against Rublev to four straight wins.

All in all, Andrey Rublev is yet to win a set in all four of their four matches on the ATP tour, as Medvedev can boast a 4-0 advantage in their head-to-head series.

Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev, fourth and seventh seed respectively, have joined sensational debutant Aslan Karatsev in the quarter-finals on Monday, to mark an unprecedented concentration of Russians at that stage of a Grand Slam in the Open Era.

With Aslan Karatsev recently claiming another famous victory to secure his spot in the semi-finals, Russia will have two players and either Medvedev or Rublev would love to join forces with qualifier Karatsev in their bid for an all-Russian final.

Moreover, Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev both led Team Russia to the ATP Cup title earlier this month and the future of Russian tennis looks so bright with the two of them on the courts.

Andrey Rublev Betting Preview

Recognized as one of the most progressive players over the last few years, Andrey Rublev already collected seven titles in singles, emerging victorious in six consecutive finals between October 2019 and October 2020.

However, the 23-year-old Russian does great at ATP 250 and 500 tournaments, but is yet to shine at some of the ATP 1000 Masters or at each of the Grand Slams. Yet, reaching the quarter-finals of a Grand Slam is not a bad record and Rublev already did it three times, but is Rublev ready to build on his best performance at the moment?

Currently at a career-high No. 8 in the ATP Rankings, Rublev played only two sets against Norway’s Casper Ruud to reach the last eight and enjoys a nine-game winning streak, starting with his victory against Dominic Thiem at last year’s ATP Finals.

His 2021 campaign started at the ATP Cup where Rublev and countryman Medvedev were both impeccable en route to the title, and then he advanced to the quarterfinals of the Australian Open after defeating Yannick Hanfmann of Germany, Thiago Monteiro of Brazil, Spanish veteran Feliciano Lopez, as well as No. 24 seed Casper Ruud of Norway.

Andrey Rublev is yet to drop a set in the competition, indeed, but let’s be honest – none of his previous enemies was near Medvedev’s level and mentality, so Rublev will have to prepare for a completely different game, a real clash against an opponent who (so far) knows how to handle his aggression.

Daniil Medvedev Betting Preview

Medvedev celebrated his 25th birthday last week and the Russian would absolutely love to give himself the best possible birthday present by reaching another Grand Slam final or why not even winning it?

To be fair, of all Russians on the ATP World Tour, Daniil Medvedev has looked most likely to make the Grand Slam breakthrough when he reached the 2019 US Open final and came agonisingly close to achieve a stunning comeback win against Rafael Nadal.

Medvedev also did well at last year’s US Open, reaching the semifinals and it seems that he managed to carry over his solid hard court performance at Melbourne Park.

So far so good, Medvedev has ridden the momentum he gained from his stellar performances in the final weeks of the 2020 campaign, when he suddenly ended his struggles with form to eventually triumph at both the Paris Masters and the ATP Finals.

Medvedev finally broke a curse as he had never won a five-set match in six previous attempts but he eventually prevailed against Serbia’s Filip Krajinovic at the weekend, when he had to come through a 6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0 victory to extend his winning streak to 18 matches.

His latest wasn’t as challenging as the aforementioned five-setter against the Serb, as it took him just one hour and a half to seal his 6-4, 6-2, 6-3 victory over Mackenzie McDonald of the United States at Margaret Court Arena on Monday.

Spooky Express Betting Prediction

Both Russians have already exceeded their best ever Australian Open performances but we perfectly know how appetite comes with eating and we doubt that either of them would be pleased to leave the race at this stage, not when they can get another juicy bite and have come so close to the showdown.

Following Monday’s victory over Mackenzie McDonald, the 25-year-old Russian extended his remarkable winning streak to 18 matches and looks like the favorite capable of finally ending Russia’s 16-year wait for a men’s Grand Slam singles title.

When these two last met at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in September, Medvedev’s cautious approach paid dividends when the result in the first set tie-break was 3/6, on his serve, and Rublev had several set points to take the lead, yet Medvedev eventually mounted an impressive comeback to inspire his success and to book his place in his second consecutive US Open semi-final.

It’s yet to be seen whether Rublev learned some important lessons from their last encounter and while it seems he might actually have an advantage from playing just two sets against Casper Ruud on Monday, Medvedev has already proven that the fatigue is not something to stop him.

We’ve already tipped Daniil Medvedev to win the men’s title in our Australian Open Betting Preview, and we stand firmly behind our betting pick. However, when it comes to our free play for this match in particular, we don’t really want to write off Rublev, but we expect another match that could be decided in less than 40½ games, as it happened in their previous Grand Slam encounter.

Spooky Express Free Play: Under 40½ Games -109 @ BetOnline for 6/10 Units

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