Featured in this article:
- Dustin Johnson is favored after winning the FedEx Cup
- Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Tommy Fleetwood and Paul Casey should be on your sports betting radar
- Take a look at Rory McIlroy, Phil Mickelson and Justin Thomas
It’s fitting that the U.S. Open is the second tournament of the 2020-21 PGA Tour season, just because 2020 has been the strangest year in recent memory. The season started with the Safeway Open last week. However, many of the top players skipped it because of the Tour Championship, which was two weeks ago. Dustin Johnson won the Tour Championship and the $15 million FedEx Cup. He now heads into Winged Foot as the sports betting favorite in the 2020 U.S. Open odds.
Winged Foot’s West Course is the venue for this, the 120th edition of the U.S. Open. This will be the sixth time that Winged Foot hosts the United States‘ open championship, and only one of the five previous tournaments have yielded a winning score under par. Geoff Ogilvy won his lone major championship here in 2006, when Phil Mickelson famously double-bogeyed the 72nd hole; a par would have gotten Mickelson the U.S. Open, where he has finished second six times.
The Golf Channel will handle broadcasting duties from 7:30 AM ET to 2:00 PM on Thursday, and 7:30 AM ET to 4:00 PM ET on Friday, and NBC picks it up with three-hour broadcasts on both days. On Saturday, The Golf Channel hosts from 9:00 AM ET to 11:00 AM ET, and then it is NBC until 7:30 PM ET. Sunday’s final round will go from 10:00 AM ET to noon on The Golf Channel, and then the rest of the day will be on NBC. Streaming fans can catch it on the platforms for both The Golf Channel and NBC, along with NBC’s Peacock platform and USOpen.com.
Dustin Johnson (2020 U.S. Open Odds of +800)
Johnson was voted PGA Player of the Year, thanks largely to an end-of-season run of results that went T12-T2-1-2-T3. He is also the #1 player in the world and a former U.S. Open champion himself as Johnson won at Oakmont in 2016. His last five results at the U.S. Open are T4-T2-1-MC-3, and the missed cut came when Johnson was returning from a back injury.
I know I’m not going out on a limb by saying you should make the #1 player in the world your golf betting favorite. But as long as Johnson is decent around the greens (95th in Shots Gained: Around The Green), this is his U.S. Open to lose.
Jon Rahm (+1000)
Rahm went toe-to-toe with Johnson down the stretch of the FedEx Cup playoffs, making a legendary 66-foot putt to beat Johnson’s 45-footer at the BMW Championship. He finished fourth at the Tour Championship, and second in the FedEx Cup standings. Rahm also won at the Memorial Tournament, winning on the consensus two toughest course setups of the season. That bodes well for Winged Foot, if Rahm can continue to harness his temper. However, Rahm is T9-MC-T3-T11-T13 in his last five majors.
Rahm is third on the PGA Tour in SG: Tee To Green, and he hits the fairway about 63% of the time. This is imperative at Winged Foot, because if you play from the rough, bogey will end up being a good score. Too many bogeys, and Rahm might lose his composure. However, he has shown a lot of progress in 2020.
Xander Schauffele (+1500)
Schauffele had the lowest score at the Tour Championship. However, Johnson won thanks to a -10 starting score that goes to the leader of the FedEx Cup going into the tournament. Still, it was a great tournament for Schauffele, who is ranked seventh in the world and has finished in the top 25 in each of his last seven starts.
Schauffele also plays well at the majors. In 12 career major starts, Schauffele has finished in the top 10 six times. In three U.S. Open starts, Schauffele has gone T5-T6-T3. He also has a great all-around game from tee to green. If Schauffele can hit some putts, he’s going to be in the mix at the sportsbooks on Sunday.
Tommy Fleetwood (+3300)
Fleetwood has struggled since the restart, but he seems to have found something in his game. He finished T3 at the Portugal Masters on the European Tour last weekend, shooting a final-round 64. Fleetwood also has a pair of top-five finishes at the U.S. Open from 2017 and 2018, but he was T65 in last year’s tournament, which was won by Gary Woodland (who has golf betting odds of +6600 to defend his title).
I’m slightly worried about Fleetwood making the trip from Portugal to New York, then he would probably have to quarantine upon arrival. Therefore, he might not have seen a lot of Winged Foot this far. Also, he has struggled in his approach game, where he is 165th in SG: Approach The Green. However, Fleetwood can putt, so two-putt pars might be his formula for a strong U.S. Open.
Paul Casey (+5000)
Casey finished 15th at Winged Foot in 2006, and he also shot a final-round 69 as one of only six players to shoot par or lower that day. Casey still hasn’t won a major, and he has just one top-10 at the U.S. Open, which came in 2007. However, if it weren’t for Collin Morikawa (2020 U.S. Open odds of +1600) driving the 16th green at the PGA Tournament, Casey might have his first title. Instead, he settled for a T2.
Casey, who is ranked 19th in the world, is strong off the tee and his iron play is fantastic. However, he is 186th in SG: Around The Green and 165th in SG: Putting. All he needs to do is be average in those categories and Casey will be hanging around the top 10 on Sunday.
Rory McIlroy (+1400)
Just had a baby and some time off, which could either be very good for the 2011 U.S. Open champion (whose -16 at Congressional is still the best score to par at this event).
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Solid tee to green player, but Thomas is 112th in SG: Putting.
Phil Mickelson (+6600)
Just because it would be a great story after the debacle on the 18th hole in 2006.