- Dustin Johnson is the -295 odds-on favorite to win the 2020 Masters Tournament
- Johnson carries a four-shot lead into Sunday’s final round of play
- Five of the last nine Masters winners weren’t in the lead after three rounds
Anyone who thinks that Dustin Johnson is home and cooled out and just waiting to be fitted for his green jacket really hasn’t watched a lot of Masters tournaments.
Augusta National, though, has a history of overwhelming favorites.
Tiger Woods, last year’s Masters champion, never led until the final day of play.
2020 Masters Tournament Odds
|Golfer||Odds To Win||Top 5 Odds||Top 10 Odds||First-Round Score|
Odds as of Nov. 14th at DraftKings.
Five of the last nine Masters winners were trailing after three rounds were in the books.
Johnson On Record Pace
Johnson’s three-round score of -16 equals the best 54-hole total in Masters history. That’s one good omen he’s got going for him.
Jordan Spieth set the 54-hole scoring record at Augusta in 2015. That year, he became just the fifth player in Masters history to lead the tournament wire-to-wire.
Dustin Johnson is the first world No. 1 to hold an outright 54-hole lead at #TheMasters since Tiger Woods in 2001. https://t.co/TSecz2ohLq
— ESPN (@espn) November 14, 2020
Johnson, Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas entered Round 3 in a three-way tie for the lead. It’s the first time in golf history that the top-three ranked players in the world shared the lead at a tournament.
Johnson stepped up Saturday to display to everyone why he’s currently rated #1 in the world. He shot a seven-under par 65 to gain his commanding four-shot advantage.
The previous world #1 to lead at Augusta through three rounds was Woods in 2001. He won the tournament.
Make America Golf Again
Americans have won the past two Masters Tournaments – Woods last year and Patrick Reed in 2018. Reed carried a three-shot advantage into the final round two years ago.
However, in the last three US election years in which the country voted in a new President, foreign-born players have won the Masters. That list includes England’s Danny Willett (2016), South Africa’s Trevor Immelman (2008) and Fiji’s Vijay Singh (2000).
My first @TheMasters moment! ? #TeamAncer pic.twitter.com/Re8fqNqR2L
— Abraham Ancer (@Abraham_Ancer) November 12, 2020
Johnson’s four closest pursuers are all foreign-born players – Mexico’s Abraham Ancer, Australia’s Cameron Smith, South Korea’s Sung-jae Im and South Africa’s Dylan Frittelli. Im could make history. No Asian player has ever won the Masters.
In the recently-concluded Presidential election, the Democrats took Georgia, home to Augusta National, for the first time since 1992. That year, as Democrat Bill Clinton won the White House, American Fred Couples won the Masters.
Coming From Off The Pace
The lore of Augusta includes a litany final-round collapses by tournament leaders. Over the past nine years, five Masters winners came from off the pace entering the final round. Three of them came from at least three shots back after 54 holes.
Last year, Woods was two shot backs entering Sunday’s action. Willett started the final round of the 2016 Masters three shots behind Spieth and made the turn on Sunday five strokes out of the lead.
Sungjae Im chips in on the first hole of Amen Corner. #themasters pic.twitter.com/WRQakoAhjp
— The Masters (@TheMasters) November 14, 2020
Adam Scott (2013) was one shot back entering the final round. Bubba Watson (2012) was three behind.
Charles Schwartzel (2011) is the template for this year’s pursuers to follow. The South African entered play Sunday four shots back of leader Rory McIlroy.
Can Anyone Catch Johnson?
Assume Johnson shoots even-par 72 on Sunday. That would mean one of Im, Ancer, or Smith would need at least 67 to beat him.
They’ve all done so or better during this tournament. However, Johnson so far has sandwiched a 70 between a pair of 65s. He’s the first player in tournament history to card two rounds of 65 or better in the same Masters.
It’s difficult to envision any golfer making up five shots on Johnson over the final 18 holes.
Johnson is just the fourth leader in tournament history to shoot 66 or better in Round 3. All three of the previous golfers to do so won the event.
Barring a collapse of Greg Norman in 1996 proportions…Dustin Johnson is winning his first green jacket tomorrow. Fun fact? There is one instance of the world number 1 leading The Masters by more than one stroke through 54 holes…Greg Norman in 1996#themasters pic.twitter.com/Vux8YhWQm0
— trey wingo (@wingoz) November 15, 2020
Here’s what Johnson has shot in his last five Masters final rounds: 70, 69, 71, 69, 70.
Barring an epic collapse, no one is catching him. There’s just one question left for Johnson to answer on Sunday.
What’s his jacket size?
Pick: Dustin Johnson (-295).