The Night Commonplace is carrying an evaluation this afternoon of how opinion over Brexit has moved for the reason that referendum in 2016. It’s based mostly on 300 polls and responses to its “Brexit proper or fallacious” and the way respondents would now vote.
What helps this evaluation is that it’s based mostly on so many polls and does present a smallish however vital shift. The report factors out that since GE2017 in J 204 out of 226 ballot have Stay forward, with simply seven for Depart. There have been 15 ties.
YouGov’s Anthony Wells is quoted as saying “The polling proof is concrete. The overwhelming majority of questions asking folks if Brexit is true or fallacious, or if they might now vote Stay or Depart, present a lead for Stay, and have executed for over two years..
“The characterisation of the scenario as Folks vs Parliament doesn’t actually get up when the general public are break up over Brexit. It’s extra a case of half the general public vs half of Parliament.”