Layers could be immediately after Empire State once again
We are not overly blessed with huge fields for Dundalk’s Sunday fixture, but there are a single or two intriguing races. With 3 maidens, it really is maybe not the most punter-friendly card, but the 14:35 race throws up a opportunity for the layers to get immediately after a couple of most important contenders.
It is a maiden in which Mistress Of Venice holds the greater rating against Aidan O’Brien’s frustrating Empire Of State. No matter whether the former is worth her 93 is a query as she holds it from her 2yo kind, and at times these sort of horses can be overrated. She also missed the entire of 2018 and subsequently left James Provided.
She produced a completely pleasing comeback final time at Navan more than 5f – her initial run for 581 days.
Empire State meanwhile has been beaten favourite 4 occasions but performed effectively-sufficient from a terrible draw at Naas not too long ago. That was more than 6f and he drops down once again to take on the minimum distance for the initial time, which is an intriguing angle for a horse that has raced more than 7f right here.
I am nonetheless not convinced about Empire State in a battle, and he’s got a handful of defeats at costs In-Play ranging from [1.11] (at Dundalk), to [1.44]. He seemed to travel effectively sufficient up to the halfway point final time, but his finishing work was a bit tame.
Mid Winster to go effectively in function race of the day
Trainer Ger Lyons will be eyeing some good races this year with Burmese Waltz, and she sets a fair typical for this Rated Race at 15:05. She ran at the prime tracks in Maiden corporation final term at Leopardstown and Curragh and has also competed at Listed level. Her second to Inverleigh final August reads effectively, as the third, Could Be King, subsequently went on to race in Group corporation and completed placed in the two,000 Guineas Trial final weekend and is now rated 102.
Burmese Waltz will be stepping back down in trip from 7f and she undoubtedly has pace. The most likely front-runner to take along the field is Empire Line – who is a track standard now with all of his six profession runs right here with 4 seconds.
He does remain 7f, but travels with sufficient speed to deal with sprinters, but he has shown he can idle at the finish. I would advocate a back-to-lay bet with him.
My play in the race is Mid Winster.
Andrew Slattery’s filly made a actually superior impression in 3 runs final term and did not appear quick of pace when she won her Maiden at the Curragh displaying a fine turn of foot. There had been optimistic on all 3 of her runs final year and she undoubtedly appears the form who really should increase. Her final outing saw her finish a fine third in Listed corporation behind horses rated 101, 101 and 92. Hopefully she’ll be match to get started off effectively, and she could be set for a superior season.
Newcomer requires the eye in weak race
I will throw in a extremely short word on the 15:40 Maiden – a race that appears winnable to say the least. Trainer Mick Halford is generally the “go-to” man at the track, but his group have not actually got into complete stride this term. Nevertheless, he saddles an intriguing newcomer in the shape of Succeedandsurpass.
He’s bred for the all-climate and has a fine pedigree with an Irish Oaks second, German Oaks and 1,000 Guineas winner in his line. He breezed for 80,000 and may possibly not have to be prime-drawer to win this. It will be intriguing to see how he goes in the market place as this is not a sturdy race.
Halford’s Snossyboots can boss the race from the front
The handicaps on the card are all pretty low-grade races but I am getting a bet on Mick Halford’s Miss Snossyboots right here.
Shes a likeable mare with a superior Dundalk record of 132522, and her most effective trip is today’s 1m4f. She won more than course and distance final time from the front following on from a superior comeback immediately after an absence.
The choice will want a thing close to a private most effective from a mark of 75, but if she can tack across from her draw, we really should have a opportunity in a field exactly where not as well several are effectively -treated.
I will also be watching how the ex-Ralph Beckett horse Construct fares. He was a difficult ride final term, generally keen and would run in snatches. He has been gelded and will get started for John McConnell for the initial time, but his rating of 78 appears stiff.
Abraham appears a danger from 107
Bets had been even tougher to chisel out on the Tramore card for Sunday – in particular for the initial two races so I’ve skipped them to concentrate on the 15:20, and a moderate -109 occasion more than 2m5f.
The prime weight Abraham below Denis O’Regan (pictured beneath) is worth a second-appear as he could be effectively treated from 107, but he is not specifically in kind. Nevertheless that mark appears a single he can win from taking into consideration he was operating in some superior high-quality Flat handicaps – which includes a second from 82. He looked a stayer more than 1m4f on the level, as befits a son of Hernando.
His two most current jumping efforts had been poor in 2018, but they had been each immediately after a break. He is match from a current spin on the all-climate at Dundalk (behind Miss Snossyboots), and I would give him a opportunity.
The far more apparent a single is the mare Alohamora, who goes in the initial-time blinkers for champion jockey-elect Paul Townend.
She is hovering at a mark she can win from undoubtedly, but she is a bit restricted. Her most recent third at Leopardstown was a strong work more than 3m and she fundamentally got outstayed. She produced a good move more than the far side in that race two out to recommend coming back down in trip to 2m5f ought not to be a dilemma.
All eyes on Silviniaco Conti half-brother on Mullins debut
Gordon Elliott’s Monatomic hasn’t had a lot of luck lately, in truth he is on a recovery mission of sorts following two falls in his final 3. Nevertheless a return to Tramore is a huge plus (and you can click right here to study what Elliott says about his possibilities for Sunday), as he has got some earlier right here.
1 of the bits of “earlier” with Monatomic was a final fence fall when in total command in October. He would have scored quickly that day, and while it is no compensation for any of his backers then, he undoubtedly acts effectively at the track. He also has winning hurdles kind right here as well, so he does not thoughts the speedy nature of the course.
Monatomic does not do an awful lot in front but has got capacity.
Willie Mullins was triple-handed at the time of writing, with Augustin, Pylonthepressure and Class Conti. The latter is most intriguing as a half-brother to Silviniaco Conti, and he tends to make his initial get started in Ireland getting joined from France – exactly where he unseated in a race against Janika.
I can’t place him up as a bet, as he’s a bit of an unknown, but as a 7yo recruit from France, he would not specifically have to be globe class to beat Monatomic. Mullins’ other people almost certainly want far more of a trip than today’s 2m5f – and Pylonthepressure’s jumping does not fill with a lot self-confidence.
*Click right here for far more racing news and previews for Sunday’s action – which includes exclusive thoughts from Gordon Elliott and Joseph O’Brien